The main event for today - a report on the GDP in the euro area
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:27 AM
In the morning went GDP in Germany - a result consistent with expectations. Most other countries in the euro area can not get out of recession followed by Germany, so the EU's GDP could be worse than expected.
Macroeconomic data published so far this week, were pretty weak, but today will be an interesting day. Already released GDP of Germany - a result consistent with the forecast. We believe that the Eurozone GDP (published in 10:00) may disappoint market participants, since in addition to Germany, the positive impulses from nowhere to wait.
According to the monthly report on the U.S. budget deficit is $ 176.4 billion, while revenue fell to a seven-year minimum. Despite the fact that net interest expense on the debt are still low, the situation will change as soon as interest rates begin to rise.
One of the main drivers in the U.S. markets today will be the index of consumer confidence in the University of Michigan. Expected a slight improvement, which is quite feasible.
Today representatives of the Fed's Evans and Dudley (both voting members of the FOMC) will perform at various meetings on the topic of bubbles in asset prices and financial system, respectively.
Saxo Bank
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
Mizuho: pound / dollar may rise to 1.6800
Mizuho: pound / dollar may rise to 1.6800
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:29 AM
Against the background of improved market sentiment couple pound / dollar rebounded and now rests just below the 1.6700 mark. As the currency analysts Mizuho, steam rolled on the support trend line and 9-day moving average, and in the course of the rollback on the daily charts formed Candle doji ". According to the Bank's strategy against this backdrop pair Pound / dollar could rise again to the area of 1.6750/1.6800. As levels of resistance bank analysts put 1.6700, 1.6750 and 1.6800. Supported by speakers mark of 1.6574, 1.6515 and 1.6500. At the moment pair Pound / dollar is at 1.6666.
Euro / dollar fell after consumer sentiment data
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:28 AM
The fall of the index of consumer sentiment University of Michigan was a complete surprise, given expectations of rising from 70.6 to 71.0 and the actual value at 66.0 points, which triggered the increased pressure on the euro / dollar. Couple tested in anticipation of the report Offer around $ 1.4850/60 turned sharply lower and checked on the strength of formal bids Asian accounts, setting a fresh session lows near $ 1.4825. Currently, the euro is kept about $ 1.4840, but the sentiment remains poor, and dealers have warned that a break below $ 1.4820 lay bare foot placed below, while the loss of support in the figures can be a catalyst more active fall.
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:29 AM
Against the background of improved market sentiment couple pound / dollar rebounded and now rests just below the 1.6700 mark. As the currency analysts Mizuho, steam rolled on the support trend line and 9-day moving average, and in the course of the rollback on the daily charts formed Candle doji ". According to the Bank's strategy against this backdrop pair Pound / dollar could rise again to the area of 1.6750/1.6800. As levels of resistance bank analysts put 1.6700, 1.6750 and 1.6800. Supported by speakers mark of 1.6574, 1.6515 and 1.6500. At the moment pair Pound / dollar is at 1.6666.
Euro / dollar fell after consumer sentiment data
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:28 AM
The fall of the index of consumer sentiment University of Michigan was a complete surprise, given expectations of rising from 70.6 to 71.0 and the actual value at 66.0 points, which triggered the increased pressure on the euro / dollar. Couple tested in anticipation of the report Offer around $ 1.4850/60 turned sharply lower and checked on the strength of formal bids Asian accounts, setting a fresh session lows near $ 1.4825. Currently, the euro is kept about $ 1.4840, but the sentiment remains poor, and dealers have warned that a break below $ 1.4820 lay bare foot placed below, while the loss of support in the figures can be a catalyst more active fall.
Financial sector reform is part of enhanced phase
Financial sector reform is part of enhanced phase
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:24 AM
In a statement the head of the Bank of Spain, Miguel Fernandez Ordonezom (Miguel Fernández Ordóñez) refers to the desire to reduce by one-third the number of Spanish savings and credit institutions in less than a year that marks the beginning of a strengthened phase of financial sector reforms.
From the moment that the Spanish authorities attempted to help the suffering with Caja Castilla La Mancha (CCM) during the emergency operation at the weekend in late March, the negotiation of mergers and acquisitions in order to save the country from other unreliable creditors proceeded with frustrating slowness, according to bankers and government officials.
Contributed to the list of commercial banks such as Santander and BBVA, still seemed more viable than most of their international colleagues.
However, many of the 45 banks that were not included in the list of approved stock exchange turnover, and often under political influence of the regional savings bank, succumbed to the increasingly negative influence because of bad loans to builders and homebuyers in the boom years.
Santiago Lopez Diaz (Santiago López Díaz), a bank analyst at Credit Suisse in its critical report on the banks said that Dumb of them increased their branch network in recent years, which angered participated in the bankers. They have quadrupled their total assets in a decade, developers have increased the loan by a factor of 20, recording the extraordinary growth of 43% on these loans during the period between 2002 and 2007.
At the moment, this has led to an increase in bad loans, which require more investment, this effect of pressure on the merger and the growing concerns of foreign creditors, who own a greater part of the € 450 billion of mortgage securities issued by Spanish authorities.
Fernandez Ordonez told the Financial Times that the 15 banks should be merged with others in the spring of next year, also, he intends to use the new Spanish law "Frob", which established the Foundation for the orderly restructuring of banks, for such purpose, almost $ 99 billion.
For the first time in postwar history of Spain's banks are in the spotlight. "All previous crises were due to banks", - said Ordonez. "The current crisis has paralyzed the banking system, a new phenomenon and we need to adopt a new law."
Two of the expected merger - is rescued from the CCM Cajastur, and Unicaja with Cajasur, probably, will be held with the participation of € 4 billion, which had accumulated a bank deposit insurance fund, however, that money would soon be exhausted.
With the present moment, the Bank of Spain wants stronger bank structures financed acquisitions from its own resources, which is expected to occur between different banking institutions in Navarra, Rioja, Aragon and the Canary Islands, or the same for this purpose is proposed to hold a Frob .
Grants for the taxpayers' money Frob will be available only as a last resort; Ordonez also said that the authorities expect instead to see the restructuring and closure of branches to reduce costs.
Partially can say thank you to the Bank of Spain for its strict limits and closely monitored, due to which taxpayers do not spend anything to help the banks, "said Ordonez. "In our case, is very profitable, when 80% of large and medium-sized financial institutions in relatively prosperous" - he said.
Until now, property prices in Spain fall, we're ahead of many mergers and acquisitions in the financial sector. Thus Ordonez described the difficult task of supporting the reform of the banking sector, which does not affect the Spanish taxpayers.
The Financial Times
November 16
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:24 AM
In a statement the head of the Bank of Spain, Miguel Fernandez Ordonezom (Miguel Fernández Ordóñez) refers to the desire to reduce by one-third the number of Spanish savings and credit institutions in less than a year that marks the beginning of a strengthened phase of financial sector reforms.
From the moment that the Spanish authorities attempted to help the suffering with Caja Castilla La Mancha (CCM) during the emergency operation at the weekend in late March, the negotiation of mergers and acquisitions in order to save the country from other unreliable creditors proceeded with frustrating slowness, according to bankers and government officials.
Contributed to the list of commercial banks such as Santander and BBVA, still seemed more viable than most of their international colleagues.
However, many of the 45 banks that were not included in the list of approved stock exchange turnover, and often under political influence of the regional savings bank, succumbed to the increasingly negative influence because of bad loans to builders and homebuyers in the boom years.
Santiago Lopez Diaz (Santiago López Díaz), a bank analyst at Credit Suisse in its critical report on the banks said that Dumb of them increased their branch network in recent years, which angered participated in the bankers. They have quadrupled their total assets in a decade, developers have increased the loan by a factor of 20, recording the extraordinary growth of 43% on these loans during the period between 2002 and 2007.
At the moment, this has led to an increase in bad loans, which require more investment, this effect of pressure on the merger and the growing concerns of foreign creditors, who own a greater part of the € 450 billion of mortgage securities issued by Spanish authorities.
Fernandez Ordonez told the Financial Times that the 15 banks should be merged with others in the spring of next year, also, he intends to use the new Spanish law "Frob", which established the Foundation for the orderly restructuring of banks, for such purpose, almost $ 99 billion.
For the first time in postwar history of Spain's banks are in the spotlight. "All previous crises were due to banks", - said Ordonez. "The current crisis has paralyzed the banking system, a new phenomenon and we need to adopt a new law."
Two of the expected merger - is rescued from the CCM Cajastur, and Unicaja with Cajasur, probably, will be held with the participation of € 4 billion, which had accumulated a bank deposit insurance fund, however, that money would soon be exhausted.
With the present moment, the Bank of Spain wants stronger bank structures financed acquisitions from its own resources, which is expected to occur between different banking institutions in Navarra, Rioja, Aragon and the Canary Islands, or the same for this purpose is proposed to hold a Frob .
Grants for the taxpayers' money Frob will be available only as a last resort; Ordonez also said that the authorities expect instead to see the restructuring and closure of branches to reduce costs.
Partially can say thank you to the Bank of Spain for its strict limits and closely monitored, due to which taxpayers do not spend anything to help the banks, "said Ordonez. "In our case, is very profitable, when 80% of large and medium-sized financial institutions in relatively prosperous" - he said.
Until now, property prices in Spain fall, we're ahead of many mergers and acquisitions in the financial sector. Thus Ordonez described the difficult task of supporting the reform of the banking sector, which does not affect the Spanish taxpayers.
The Financial Times
November 16
Canada's foreign trade deficit declined in September
Canada's foreign trade deficit declined in September
Saturday, November 14, 2009 6:15 AM
Canada's trade deficit fell in September to $ 927 million compared with $ 2.0 billion in the previous month.
Exports in September rose by 3,5% to $ 30.3 billion the volume of exports of Canadian goods and services continuously decreased from July 2008 and reached its minimum in May of this year. After this index rose in three of the last four months.
Automobiles, industrial goods and materials, products, machinery and equipment was the main sources of export growth in the reporting period.
The volume of imports into Canada fell in September to 0.1% to $ 31.2 billion, however, a decrease in imports in August and September failed to smooth out the sharp increase in the indicator, which was recorded in July this year.
The trade deficit in the United States rose sharply in September
Saturday, November 14, 2009 6:14 AM
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the country's foreign trade deficit increased in September at 18.2% to $ 36.5 billion
The published value of the index has surpassed forecasts of experts, who expected that the deficit will be $ 32.0 billion, is the most significant increase in the monthly trade deficit in percentage terms since February 1999.
In September, the volume of imports grew faster than export volumes. Foreign Trade Activity was restored to near pre-crisis level - the fall of 2008.
Saturday, November 14, 2009 6:15 AM
Canada's trade deficit fell in September to $ 927 million compared with $ 2.0 billion in the previous month.
Exports in September rose by 3,5% to $ 30.3 billion the volume of exports of Canadian goods and services continuously decreased from July 2008 and reached its minimum in May of this year. After this index rose in three of the last four months.
Automobiles, industrial goods and materials, products, machinery and equipment was the main sources of export growth in the reporting period.
The volume of imports into Canada fell in September to 0.1% to $ 31.2 billion, however, a decrease in imports in August and September failed to smooth out the sharp increase in the indicator, which was recorded in July this year.
The trade deficit in the United States rose sharply in September
Saturday, November 14, 2009 6:14 AM
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, the country's foreign trade deficit increased in September at 18.2% to $ 36.5 billion
The published value of the index has surpassed forecasts of experts, who expected that the deficit will be $ 32.0 billion, is the most significant increase in the monthly trade deficit in percentage terms since February 1999.
In September, the volume of imports grew faster than export volumes. Foreign Trade Activity was restored to near pre-crisis level - the fall of 2008.
Do not believe that the world has changed Friday, November 13, 2009 9:23 AM Financial Analyst FxPro Alexander Kuptsikevich: Despite grand statements a
Do not believe that the world has changed
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:23 AM
Financial Analyst FxPro Alexander Kuptsikevich: Despite grand statements about the structural changes in the global economy in the world remains a very strong desire to leave everything as is. Chapter Geithner, U.S. Treasury this week repeated the old words of "strong dollar policy" and the responsibility of States to other states for such a course. Russia called on States to take concrete action.
Overloaded sales dollar FX market in the absence of news at first tried to grow on data from China, but soon strayed to the side of the dollar (perhaps a tribute Geitner), that is, adjusted the recent decline, falling to 1.4820. However, trade remained in the same range, while maintaining the uptrend in the pair euro / dollar, which is observed in March. Stock sites operated symmetrically, however, managed to update the annual maximum, but then retreated once in a quandary.
On the one hand, we have the growth of U.S. GDP to 0.9% in the third quarter, in Germany 0.7% France 0.3%, increased activity in the housing market and a clear reversal of the monthly labor market dynamics - it good news.
Bad lie in the fact that the unemployment rate in the United States, and around the world is very high, and further projections assume its subsequent growth is about a year.
The result is that growing consumer uncertainty that keeps lending costs and depressed. Oil reserves are growing, gas storage facilities are overcrowded. Growth States, Germany, France, and Russia leads frighteningly sharp rise in budget deficit. In many countries it is a record in relation to GDP for many years, but in terms of money and did the unprecedented. And in the foreseeable future, no one is going to refuse to stimulate the economy through tax breaks and maintenance of the labor market.
The deficits are growing, export-oriented countries receive support from the restoration of consumer countries and re-accumulate reserves. The only difference is that in Asia a few more "like" gold, which successfully updates the maximum after the maximum. But this does not prevent us back to the old trend: when the world economy grows, the dollar falls. Is it that this time it will be dynamic, because it benefits the U.S. and China. Target next week 1,51-1,5150 on EUR / USD, 28,50 on the USD / RUB. Gold will cost 1,130 dollars per ounce and oil $ 80 per barrel.
Friday, November 13, 2009 9:23 AM
Financial Analyst FxPro Alexander Kuptsikevich: Despite grand statements about the structural changes in the global economy in the world remains a very strong desire to leave everything as is. Chapter Geithner, U.S. Treasury this week repeated the old words of "strong dollar policy" and the responsibility of States to other states for such a course. Russia called on States to take concrete action.
Overloaded sales dollar FX market in the absence of news at first tried to grow on data from China, but soon strayed to the side of the dollar (perhaps a tribute Geitner), that is, adjusted the recent decline, falling to 1.4820. However, trade remained in the same range, while maintaining the uptrend in the pair euro / dollar, which is observed in March. Stock sites operated symmetrically, however, managed to update the annual maximum, but then retreated once in a quandary.
On the one hand, we have the growth of U.S. GDP to 0.9% in the third quarter, in Germany 0.7% France 0.3%, increased activity in the housing market and a clear reversal of the monthly labor market dynamics - it good news.
Bad lie in the fact that the unemployment rate in the United States, and around the world is very high, and further projections assume its subsequent growth is about a year.
The result is that growing consumer uncertainty that keeps lending costs and depressed. Oil reserves are growing, gas storage facilities are overcrowded. Growth States, Germany, France, and Russia leads frighteningly sharp rise in budget deficit. In many countries it is a record in relation to GDP for many years, but in terms of money and did the unprecedented. And in the foreseeable future, no one is going to refuse to stimulate the economy through tax breaks and maintenance of the labor market.
The deficits are growing, export-oriented countries receive support from the restoration of consumer countries and re-accumulate reserves. The only difference is that in Asia a few more "like" gold, which successfully updates the maximum after the maximum. But this does not prevent us back to the old trend: when the world economy grows, the dollar falls. Is it that this time it will be dynamic, because it benefits the U.S. and China. Target next week 1,51-1,5150 on EUR / USD, 28,50 on the USD / RUB. Gold will cost 1,130 dollars per ounce and oil $ 80 per barrel.
Martingail Breakdowning_v1 MT4 Expert Advisor
Martingail Breakdowning_v1 MT4 Expert Advisor
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 3:29 AM
Expert applying capital management method of Martingale.
Particularly experts - increases the loss-making arm, considering that the price will continue its movement, and not vice versa bounce off the level, ie the breakdown option. Much more stable and more stable than all other options.
Just a few comments:
* Parameter LogariphmicMM (when the MM) includes manimenedzhment when increasing the lot size of the deposit increases, but at a slower rate than the deposit, ie, the load on the deposit decreases. We must decide only Riskfactor;
* Parameter ProfitPercent defines the required size of our profit as a percentage of the depot. Since the series does not close at all levels and they can be separated by 200 points. However, if enabled OptimalTakeProfit, the size of the required profit increases by the square root of the maximum open lot. OptimalTakeProfit recommended.
* For those who want to try adviser on a real account, be sure to include Close_on_TP, then the series closes on TakeProfit and stop-loss. There, like all properly considered and bidam, and ASCAME ... If this option is off, the warrant simply closed to achieve the necessary profit;
* The selection of parameters: the euro is better to move about 20, ProfitPercent about 0,3-0,5. The taste and color. Per pound of step 30.
* Profitnost increases with decreasing step and the risk too;
* The initial orders are opened in both sides of the lot size is 0.1. They need only to reference the initial level.
Topic is discussed in detail in http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/thread24642.html.
New version. Added mode lights out (in contrast to the breakdown, when the ratio of equity / balance is less than 0.7), trailing stop is a profitable position. Podrdobno code is commented. Options well suited for a pound - Step 20, TrailingStop 30, ProfitPercent 0.5.
Download
Martingail Breakdowning_v1.mq4Martingail Breakdowning_v1 MT4 Expert Advisor
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 3:29 AM
Expert applying capital management method of Martingale.
Particularly experts - increases the loss-making arm, considering that the price will continue its movement, and not vice versa bounce off the level, ie the breakdown option. Much more stable and more stable than all other options.
Just a few comments:
* Parameter LogariphmicMM (when the MM) includes manimenedzhment when increasing the lot size of the deposit increases, but at a slower rate than the deposit, ie, the load on the deposit decreases. We must decide only Riskfactor;
* Parameter ProfitPercent defines the required size of our profit as a percentage of the depot. Since the series does not close at all levels and they can be separated by 200 points. However, if enabled OptimalTakeProfit, the size of the required profit increases by the square root of the maximum open lot. OptimalTakeProfit recommended.
* For those who want to try adviser on a real account, be sure to include Close_on_TP, then the series closes on TakeProfit and stop-loss. There, like all properly considered and bidam, and ASCAME ... If this option is off, the warrant simply closed to achieve the necessary profit;
* The selection of parameters: the euro is better to move about 20, ProfitPercent about 0,3-0,5. The taste and color. Per pound of step 30.
* Profitnost increases with decreasing step and the risk too;
* The initial orders are opened in both sides of the lot size is 0.1. They need only to reference the initial level.
Topic is discussed in detail in http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/thread24642.html.
New version. Added mode lights out (in contrast to the breakdown, when the ratio of equity / balance is less than 0.7), trailing stop is a profitable position. Podrdobno code is commented. Options well suited for a pound - Step 20, TrailingStop 30, ProfitPercent 0.5.
Download
Martingail Breakdowning_v1.mq4
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 3:29 AM
Expert applying capital management method of Martingale.
Particularly experts - increases the loss-making arm, considering that the price will continue its movement, and not vice versa bounce off the level, ie the breakdown option. Much more stable and more stable than all other options.
Just a few comments:
* Parameter LogariphmicMM (when the MM) includes manimenedzhment when increasing the lot size of the deposit increases, but at a slower rate than the deposit, ie, the load on the deposit decreases. We must decide only Riskfactor;
* Parameter ProfitPercent defines the required size of our profit as a percentage of the depot. Since the series does not close at all levels and they can be separated by 200 points. However, if enabled OptimalTakeProfit, the size of the required profit increases by the square root of the maximum open lot. OptimalTakeProfit recommended.
* For those who want to try adviser on a real account, be sure to include Close_on_TP, then the series closes on TakeProfit and stop-loss. There, like all properly considered and bidam, and ASCAME ... If this option is off, the warrant simply closed to achieve the necessary profit;
* The selection of parameters: the euro is better to move about 20, ProfitPercent about 0,3-0,5. The taste and color. Per pound of step 30.
* Profitnost increases with decreasing step and the risk too;
* The initial orders are opened in both sides of the lot size is 0.1. They need only to reference the initial level.
Topic is discussed in detail in http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/thread24642.html.
New version. Added mode lights out (in contrast to the breakdown, when the ratio of equity / balance is less than 0.7), trailing stop is a profitable position. Podrdobno code is commented. Options well suited for a pound - Step 20, TrailingStop 30, ProfitPercent 0.5.
Download
Martingail Breakdowning_v1.mq4Martingail Breakdowning_v1 MT4 Expert Advisor
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 3:29 AM
Expert applying capital management method of Martingale.
Particularly experts - increases the loss-making arm, considering that the price will continue its movement, and not vice versa bounce off the level, ie the breakdown option. Much more stable and more stable than all other options.
Just a few comments:
* Parameter LogariphmicMM (when the MM) includes manimenedzhment when increasing the lot size of the deposit increases, but at a slower rate than the deposit, ie, the load on the deposit decreases. We must decide only Riskfactor;
* Parameter ProfitPercent defines the required size of our profit as a percentage of the depot. Since the series does not close at all levels and they can be separated by 200 points. However, if enabled OptimalTakeProfit, the size of the required profit increases by the square root of the maximum open lot. OptimalTakeProfit recommended.
* For those who want to try adviser on a real account, be sure to include Close_on_TP, then the series closes on TakeProfit and stop-loss. There, like all properly considered and bidam, and ASCAME ... If this option is off, the warrant simply closed to achieve the necessary profit;
* The selection of parameters: the euro is better to move about 20, ProfitPercent about 0,3-0,5. The taste and color. Per pound of step 30.
* Profitnost increases with decreasing step and the risk too;
* The initial orders are opened in both sides of the lot size is 0.1. They need only to reference the initial level.
Topic is discussed in detail in http://forum.alpari-idc.ru/thread24642.html.
New version. Added mode lights out (in contrast to the breakdown, when the ratio of equity / balance is less than 0.7), trailing stop is a profitable position. Podrdobno code is commented. Options well suited for a pound - Step 20, TrailingStop 30, ProfitPercent 0.5.
Download
Martingail Breakdowning_v1.mq4
Retail sales in the U.S. increased by 1.4% in October
Retail sales in the U.S. increased by 1.4% in October
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:03 AM
The volume of retail sales in the U.S. grew in October at 1.4% due to higher car sales.
Sales of cars increased in the reporting period to 7.4%. Retail sales excluding auto sales rose in October at 0.2%. Economists had expected growth of this indicator on 0,3%. Sales of durable goods excluding automobiles were quite weak. In turn, sales of consumer goods in general have shown growth.
Growth of retail sales exceeded 1%, which was expected by experts. However, the October increase was smoothed negative value for the previous month, which was revised in the direction of a significant reduction.
Producer prices have fallen, but consumer prices are unlikely to decrease
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:02 AM
Today went Rosstat data, according to which producer prices of industrial production in Russia in January-October 2009 increased by 13,9% and inflation at the consumer market was 8.1%. Left commented on the financial data analyst FxPro Alexander Kuptsikevich.
Producer prices are a leading indicator of prices in the consumer market. This variability is reflected in consumer inflation with a delay. Retail players are often passed on to consumers the increased cost burden on the purchase of goods. But at the same time, as seen from the figures this year, it happens to a much lesser extent, because not only raw materials included in the price of goods and services.
In the conditions of Russia is somewhat different: if the prices of industrial goods and services vary greatly with the cycles of economic activity, the consumer prices, at best, do not grow or equal to zero. Month to month it strongly influences the dynamics, distorting it. So, by October last year, according to the Federal State Statistics Service, producers cut prices by 1,8% (in spite of the accumulated YTD growth of 13.9%), while consumer prices rose by 9,7%.
Very telling in this regard in January this year, when producer prices fell more than 3%, while the consumer rose by 2,0%. Since Russia's economy went in the direction of growth, and the government is planning greater spending for November and December, it most likely will increase consumer prices by 0,8-1,0% per month (the more so that producer prices rose consistently from February to September). This is historically the standard inflation rate for these months.
This year we are likely to get consumer prices by 10% per year. Inflation next year is likely to remain at 10-12% rather than 7 - 8% projected by the government.
Annual inflation in the euro area in October at the level of forecasts
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:00 AM
According to final data of the EU statistical agency Eurostat, the annual consumer price index for the euro area amounted to -0,1% in October compared with -0.3% in the previous month. A year earlier the rate of inflation in the eurozone reached 3.2%. In monthly terms, the consumer price index for October increased by 0,2%.
Annual consumer price index excluding prices for food, tobacco, alcohol and fuel (main index) was 1.2% for the reporting period. The value of the meet analysts' forecasts.
Mizuho holds bearish forecast for the dollar / yen
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:27 AM
As the currency analysts Mizuho, all indicators on daily charts the dollar / yen indicate bearish sentiment couples. The bank believes that trade within the formation of a "triangle", which is now the pair will soon end, and the dollar / yen falls dramatically to the key support level of 87.00, and then to a level of 85.00 in the week. As a strategy for bank analysts prefer to sell on the best exchange rate, reinforcing the position at 90.00, with a stop above 90.75 and short-term goals of 89.29/18 and 88.25/88.00. At the moment pair dollar / yen is at around 89.47.
BNP Paribas recommends buying euro / franc
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:26 AM
According to currency analysts BNP Paribas, the interest of the Swiss National Bank to currency intervention is likely to weaken, as the restoration of the Swiss economy is gaining momentum. However, consider a bank, in the case of a verbal intervention by the Central Bank of Switzerland, the reaction of pair euro / franc, which is now closer to the bottom of the range, can be quite significant. Thus, reducing the euro / franc at 1.5080 area in the bank is seen as a good opportunity to buy a pair. Currently, the euro / franc is trading at around 1.5090.
UBS recommended buying the dollar / yen
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:26 AM
As the currency analysts UBS, the Minister of Finance of Japan Fuji said that he was satisfied that the yield on Japanese government bonds again began to decline. As you know, since, as Fuji joined as finance minister, his views on the dollar / yen has changed - at the bank believe that Fuji and his adviser Goten would not tolerate further strengthening the national currency. Bank analysts also note concerns regarding the sustainability of the state budget in Japan, and believe that in such circumstances, the dollar / yen should buy, not sell. At the moment pair dollar / yen is trading at 89.54.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:03 AM
The volume of retail sales in the U.S. grew in October at 1.4% due to higher car sales.
Sales of cars increased in the reporting period to 7.4%. Retail sales excluding auto sales rose in October at 0.2%. Economists had expected growth of this indicator on 0,3%. Sales of durable goods excluding automobiles were quite weak. In turn, sales of consumer goods in general have shown growth.
Growth of retail sales exceeded 1%, which was expected by experts. However, the October increase was smoothed negative value for the previous month, which was revised in the direction of a significant reduction.
Producer prices have fallen, but consumer prices are unlikely to decrease
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:02 AM
Today went Rosstat data, according to which producer prices of industrial production in Russia in January-October 2009 increased by 13,9% and inflation at the consumer market was 8.1%. Left commented on the financial data analyst FxPro Alexander Kuptsikevich.
Producer prices are a leading indicator of prices in the consumer market. This variability is reflected in consumer inflation with a delay. Retail players are often passed on to consumers the increased cost burden on the purchase of goods. But at the same time, as seen from the figures this year, it happens to a much lesser extent, because not only raw materials included in the price of goods and services.
In the conditions of Russia is somewhat different: if the prices of industrial goods and services vary greatly with the cycles of economic activity, the consumer prices, at best, do not grow or equal to zero. Month to month it strongly influences the dynamics, distorting it. So, by October last year, according to the Federal State Statistics Service, producers cut prices by 1,8% (in spite of the accumulated YTD growth of 13.9%), while consumer prices rose by 9,7%.
Very telling in this regard in January this year, when producer prices fell more than 3%, while the consumer rose by 2,0%. Since Russia's economy went in the direction of growth, and the government is planning greater spending for November and December, it most likely will increase consumer prices by 0,8-1,0% per month (the more so that producer prices rose consistently from February to September). This is historically the standard inflation rate for these months.
This year we are likely to get consumer prices by 10% per year. Inflation next year is likely to remain at 10-12% rather than 7 - 8% projected by the government.
Annual inflation in the euro area in October at the level of forecasts
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:00 AM
According to final data of the EU statistical agency Eurostat, the annual consumer price index for the euro area amounted to -0,1% in October compared with -0.3% in the previous month. A year earlier the rate of inflation in the eurozone reached 3.2%. In monthly terms, the consumer price index for October increased by 0,2%.
Annual consumer price index excluding prices for food, tobacco, alcohol and fuel (main index) was 1.2% for the reporting period. The value of the meet analysts' forecasts.
Mizuho holds bearish forecast for the dollar / yen
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:27 AM
As the currency analysts Mizuho, all indicators on daily charts the dollar / yen indicate bearish sentiment couples. The bank believes that trade within the formation of a "triangle", which is now the pair will soon end, and the dollar / yen falls dramatically to the key support level of 87.00, and then to a level of 85.00 in the week. As a strategy for bank analysts prefer to sell on the best exchange rate, reinforcing the position at 90.00, with a stop above 90.75 and short-term goals of 89.29/18 and 88.25/88.00. At the moment pair dollar / yen is at around 89.47.
BNP Paribas recommends buying euro / franc
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:26 AM
According to currency analysts BNP Paribas, the interest of the Swiss National Bank to currency intervention is likely to weaken, as the restoration of the Swiss economy is gaining momentum. However, consider a bank, in the case of a verbal intervention by the Central Bank of Switzerland, the reaction of pair euro / franc, which is now closer to the bottom of the range, can be quite significant. Thus, reducing the euro / franc at 1.5080 area in the bank is seen as a good opportunity to buy a pair. Currently, the euro / franc is trading at around 1.5090.
UBS recommended buying the dollar / yen
Monday, November 16, 2009 6:26 AM
As the currency analysts UBS, the Minister of Finance of Japan Fuji said that he was satisfied that the yield on Japanese government bonds again began to decline. As you know, since, as Fuji joined as finance minister, his views on the dollar / yen has changed - at the bank believe that Fuji and his adviser Goten would not tolerate further strengthening the national currency. Bank analysts also note concerns regarding the sustainability of the state budget in Japan, and believe that in such circumstances, the dollar / yen should buy, not sell. At the moment pair dollar / yen is trading at 89.54.
Long-term capital inflows in the U.S.
Long-term capital inflows in the U.S. totaled $ 40.7 billion in September
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:46 PM
U.S. Treasury issued a report Tuesday on international capital flows for September 2009.
During the period, foreign investors purchased U.S. long-term securities totaling $ 55.7 billion including the share of private investors had $ 44.8 billion, while the share of official government agencies - $ 10.9 billion in the same time, U.S. residents purchased foreign long-term securities totaling $ 15.0 billion
UniCredit: the probability of decline of the euro / dollar may rise
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 8:43 AM
According to currency analysts UniCredit, downside risks to pair the euro / dollar is increasingly growing. As noted in the bank, the failure of euro / dollar's upward movement to develop a higher level of $ 1.50 a pair of difficult short-term prospects. The bank believes that interest in risky assets now will allow the euro / dollar to stay above $ 1.4850, however, in the event of further decline in equity markets likely fall couples, of course, increase. Euro / dollar at the moment stands at $ 1.4866. Source: Forexpf.Ru - Forex News
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:46 PM
U.S. Treasury issued a report Tuesday on international capital flows for September 2009.
During the period, foreign investors purchased U.S. long-term securities totaling $ 55.7 billion including the share of private investors had $ 44.8 billion, while the share of official government agencies - $ 10.9 billion in the same time, U.S. residents purchased foreign long-term securities totaling $ 15.0 billion
UniCredit: the probability of decline of the euro / dollar may rise
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 8:43 AM
According to currency analysts UniCredit, downside risks to pair the euro / dollar is increasingly growing. As noted in the bank, the failure of euro / dollar's upward movement to develop a higher level of $ 1.50 a pair of difficult short-term prospects. The bank believes that interest in risky assets now will allow the euro / dollar to stay above $ 1.4850, however, in the event of further decline in equity markets likely fall couples, of course, increase. Euro / dollar at the moment stands at $ 1.4866. Source: Forexpf.Ru - Forex News
Frank ud MT4 Expert Advisor
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 3:29 AM
ONE OF THE MOST PROFITABLE, STABLE AND EASY automated trading systems for FOREX TO DATE!
Has a stable profit, the unique algorithm of the first transaction and the system output Losev transactions bezubytok by Martingale. The system is uniquely flexible and profitable - a stable profit from 500% in less than 1 year - checked. A little fear can only recoil at the price jumps of 2000 or more points "in the wrong direction, what happens during the economic collapse of any country, war, major terrorist attacks, etc. This happens once in 2 years. This can be seen on TV and in advance to suspend work on the adviser to a week or less.
Specifications:
* Algorithm MM: Martingale in the breakdown.
* Terminal: Metatrader 4
* Sovetuemye tools: any.
* Settings: SET files prilagayutsya for example.
* Period: from M5 up to D1
* Minimum depot: for every 10 000 is required lot 0,01 (secure option)
for every 1000 requires lot 0,01 (risky setting)
* Performance: From 500% per year. depends on the shoulder, the level and frequency of lots reinvestment.
* DC: Anyone with a micro 0.01 Lot, Mini 0.1 unit, or common account 1 lot.
* Opening hours: around the clock on weekdays.
* Internet: need a stable without a glitch.
* Reinvestment: Yes.
Principle:
Open positions up and down.
Waiting movement.
- Top up against the movement of Martingale (eg 0,01, 0,02, 0,03, etc..) Closes: Rollback. Take Profit.
- The movement: Minimum lot. (Eg 0,01) Closes: take profit.
Be sure to spend optimization. Counselor is very sensitive to the settings.
Attention is a martingale, it contradicts one of the rules of trade, not work against the trend! Budtte with caution!
Download
Frank ud.mq4
ONE OF THE MOST PROFITABLE, STABLE AND EASY automated trading systems for FOREX TO DATE!
Has a stable profit, the unique algorithm of the first transaction and the system output Losev transactions bezubytok by Martingale. The system is uniquely flexible and profitable - a stable profit from 500% in less than 1 year - checked. A little fear can only recoil at the price jumps of 2000 or more points "in the wrong direction, what happens during the economic collapse of any country, war, major terrorist attacks, etc. This happens once in 2 years. This can be seen on TV and in advance to suspend work on the adviser to a week or less.
Specifications:
* Algorithm MM: Martingale in the breakdown.
* Terminal: Metatrader 4
* Sovetuemye tools: any.
* Settings: SET files prilagayutsya for example.
* Period: from M5 up to D1
* Minimum depot: for every 10 000 is required lot 0,01 (secure option)
for every 1000 requires lot 0,01 (risky setting)
* Performance: From 500% per year. depends on the shoulder, the level and frequency of lots reinvestment.
* DC: Anyone with a micro 0.01 Lot, Mini 0.1 unit, or common account 1 lot.
* Opening hours: around the clock on weekdays.
* Internet: need a stable without a glitch.
* Reinvestment: Yes.
Principle:
Open positions up and down.
Waiting movement.
- Top up against the movement of Martingale (eg 0,01, 0,02, 0,03, etc..) Closes: Rollback. Take Profit.
- The movement: Minimum lot. (Eg 0,01) Closes: take profit.
Be sure to spend optimization. Counselor is very sensitive to the settings.
Attention is a martingale, it contradicts one of the rules of trade, not work against the trend! Budtte with caution!
Download
Frank ud.mq4
Simpax Technic
-
Daily Smart
Posted: 2009-10-23 18:38:44 UTC+07:00
Daily Smart calculating movement of price dan in the right moment, the prediction Buy or Sell will appear.
We just follow the instruction that have given and no need extra work cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita".
Buy :
1. If trend in H4 UP so you must follow the signal in H1 just Buy
2. After getting the signal music, ready to buy, and if a line in main trend (UP) straight
to open BUY.
Sell :
1. If trend in H4 Down so you must follow the signal in H1 just Sell
2. After getting the signal, ready to sell, and if a line in main trend (Down)
straight to open SELL.
Please Download : Daily Smart with card
Posted: 2009-11-01 20:49:20 UTC+07:00
Simpac Technic is using a simple indicator and safe to take open postition so can make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita" .
This technic suitable with new comer in forex.
This technic only in GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY.
This technic suitable with new comer in forex.
This technic only in GBP/JPY and EUR/JPY.
For Download this templete please :Simpax Technic
Before open position we have to know the direct of wave with using MACD :
1. Cross of MACD, Blue line up, red line down, the blue dot will appear, is bullish
2. Cross of MACD, Blue line down, red line up, the red dot will appear, is bearish
"The greatest bargain": How to make $ 20 billion
"The greatest bargain": How to make $ 20 billion
Wednesday, November 18, 2009 1:23 AM
Even when the financial system collapsed in the past year, and millions of investors lost billions of dollars, a "neinvestor" received a historical earnings, his name is John Paulson (John Paulson), it is hedge fund manager in New York.
His firm earned $ 20 billion between 2007 and early 2009, playing against the real estate market and big financial companies. Personal income Paulson make almost $ 4 billion, or more than $ 10 million a day. This is more than the income JK Rowling, Oprah Uinnfri and Tiger Woods combined for the year 2007.
How did he do it? Believing that the approaching collapse of the real estate market, Paulson has spent about $ 1 billion in 2006 to purchase insurance from the fact that he had already identified as high-risk mortgage investments. When the real estate market and mortgages collapsed, the cost of insurance Paulson rocketed. In that year one of his funds grew by 500%. Then, in 2008, he opened a short position on the financial assets of companies or put on the fact that they will fall in price, earning again, when the prices of these companies collapsed.
Is there in this case, some investment skills that can learn to investors, based on the stories of his success? Yes. Of course, no guarantees, but the success of Paulson and several other former unsuccessful investors gives support to people who are trying to compete with the pros on Wall Street.
Below are 8 tips on investment of $ 20 billion Paulson's game, which is the greatest example in financial history:
1. Do not rely on the experts
Many investors lost heavily in 2007 and 2008 on housing construction and collapse of the stock market. But no one lost more than commercial and investment banks, caught in the trap of toxic mortgage securities. These bankers were the ones who have created such investments, and the best analysts on Wall Street vouch for their reliability, just when Paulson and others set against the investment.
Lesson: When Wall Street puts its' latest product is a win-win "- be skeptical.
2. Problems bubbles
Some academics argue that financial markets become more efficient. But the rapid growth of financial bubbles in recent years, including real estate, technology and Asian currencies, confirm that is just hard to navigate, and markets are increasingly inclined to exaggeration. Today, investors of any gauges read the same article, watch the same TV business programs and see this same tips. They invariably take a course on the output simultaneously.
Lesson: Have an exit strategy and cash to cushion any fall.
3. Focus on the debt market
Most investors track the ups and downs of the stock market, but have a vague idea of the movement in the debt market. Is a mistake. Early signs of trouble were seen in markets with high levels of competition that are not in the center of attention, such as the subprime mortgage market bonds. These problems eventually led to collapse the housing market, stock markets and the economy as a whole, that Paulson and his team christened as the "domino principle".
Lesson: Debt markets can play a generally larger role in predicting problems than the stock markets.
4. Development of new investment
Paulson has earned a huge profit on the purchase of credit default swaps (CDS), derivative investments that are insured debt. When the risky mortgage bonds fell in price, insurance Paulson rocketed. However, many experts were confused by the CDS contracts or shied away from the relatively new investments for themselves. Paulson and his team had no experience with CDS contracts, but they spent some time studying them.
Lesson: Learn a variety of trading instruments, some of them can play a valuable role in the portfolio.
5. Insurance premiums
Number of investors worried about an explosion in the housing market, but few do something, even though such CDS contracts at that time sold at extremely low prices. Investing in stock options "not in the money" pays off only when the market falls, at the time they also traded at reasonable levels. Since this insurance was very cheap - many professionals ignore it.
Lesson: Do not underestimate the importance of insurance, such as a put option.
6. The value of experience
Some of the biggest winners during the crisis were middle-aged investors, who was fired for past services. But they have encountered with past market downturns, and some bankers and analysts were caught off guard, because they knew only the good times.
Lesson: A historical perspective can be a valuable tool.
7. Do not forget
In early 2009 Mr. Paulson has become more inclined to bullish trend on the banks and financial companies, against which he set in 2008, as the latter improved their balance sheets. These steps led to profits this year.
Lesson: Even the most successful trade can not last forever.
8. Luck helps
In early 2006, Mr. Paulson decided that the real estate market problems and intended to profit from the coming fall. But some real estate experts have already decided that it was overvalued, while others set against the real estate market, but have not been able to fix their losses. Just months after the historic trade Paulson, real estate prices in the United States again began to fall.
Lesson: Do not get too many chances in one transaction, even if it seems right thing.
The Wall Street Journal
November 15
Producer prices in the U.S. rose by 0.3% in October
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:46 PM
The index of industrial prices excluding volatile food prices and energy prices fell in October at 0.6%. This is the most significant fall in the past three years.
Compared with the same period last year, producer prices in the U.S. fell by 1,9%. In turn, the index excluding prices for food and energy rose at annual rate of 0,7%.
Wednesday, November 18, 2009 1:23 AM
Even when the financial system collapsed in the past year, and millions of investors lost billions of dollars, a "neinvestor" received a historical earnings, his name is John Paulson (John Paulson), it is hedge fund manager in New York.
His firm earned $ 20 billion between 2007 and early 2009, playing against the real estate market and big financial companies. Personal income Paulson make almost $ 4 billion, or more than $ 10 million a day. This is more than the income JK Rowling, Oprah Uinnfri and Tiger Woods combined for the year 2007.
How did he do it? Believing that the approaching collapse of the real estate market, Paulson has spent about $ 1 billion in 2006 to purchase insurance from the fact that he had already identified as high-risk mortgage investments. When the real estate market and mortgages collapsed, the cost of insurance Paulson rocketed. In that year one of his funds grew by 500%. Then, in 2008, he opened a short position on the financial assets of companies or put on the fact that they will fall in price, earning again, when the prices of these companies collapsed.
Is there in this case, some investment skills that can learn to investors, based on the stories of his success? Yes. Of course, no guarantees, but the success of Paulson and several other former unsuccessful investors gives support to people who are trying to compete with the pros on Wall Street.
Below are 8 tips on investment of $ 20 billion Paulson's game, which is the greatest example in financial history:
1. Do not rely on the experts
Many investors lost heavily in 2007 and 2008 on housing construction and collapse of the stock market. But no one lost more than commercial and investment banks, caught in the trap of toxic mortgage securities. These bankers were the ones who have created such investments, and the best analysts on Wall Street vouch for their reliability, just when Paulson and others set against the investment.
Lesson: When Wall Street puts its' latest product is a win-win "- be skeptical.
2. Problems bubbles
Some academics argue that financial markets become more efficient. But the rapid growth of financial bubbles in recent years, including real estate, technology and Asian currencies, confirm that is just hard to navigate, and markets are increasingly inclined to exaggeration. Today, investors of any gauges read the same article, watch the same TV business programs and see this same tips. They invariably take a course on the output simultaneously.
Lesson: Have an exit strategy and cash to cushion any fall.
3. Focus on the debt market
Most investors track the ups and downs of the stock market, but have a vague idea of the movement in the debt market. Is a mistake. Early signs of trouble were seen in markets with high levels of competition that are not in the center of attention, such as the subprime mortgage market bonds. These problems eventually led to collapse the housing market, stock markets and the economy as a whole, that Paulson and his team christened as the "domino principle".
Lesson: Debt markets can play a generally larger role in predicting problems than the stock markets.
4. Development of new investment
Paulson has earned a huge profit on the purchase of credit default swaps (CDS), derivative investments that are insured debt. When the risky mortgage bonds fell in price, insurance Paulson rocketed. However, many experts were confused by the CDS contracts or shied away from the relatively new investments for themselves. Paulson and his team had no experience with CDS contracts, but they spent some time studying them.
Lesson: Learn a variety of trading instruments, some of them can play a valuable role in the portfolio.
5. Insurance premiums
Number of investors worried about an explosion in the housing market, but few do something, even though such CDS contracts at that time sold at extremely low prices. Investing in stock options "not in the money" pays off only when the market falls, at the time they also traded at reasonable levels. Since this insurance was very cheap - many professionals ignore it.
Lesson: Do not underestimate the importance of insurance, such as a put option.
6. The value of experience
Some of the biggest winners during the crisis were middle-aged investors, who was fired for past services. But they have encountered with past market downturns, and some bankers and analysts were caught off guard, because they knew only the good times.
Lesson: A historical perspective can be a valuable tool.
7. Do not forget
In early 2009 Mr. Paulson has become more inclined to bullish trend on the banks and financial companies, against which he set in 2008, as the latter improved their balance sheets. These steps led to profits this year.
Lesson: Even the most successful trade can not last forever.
8. Luck helps
In early 2006, Mr. Paulson decided that the real estate market problems and intended to profit from the coming fall. But some real estate experts have already decided that it was overvalued, while others set against the real estate market, but have not been able to fix their losses. Just months after the historic trade Paulson, real estate prices in the United States again began to fall.
Lesson: Do not get too many chances in one transaction, even if it seems right thing.
The Wall Street Journal
November 15
Producer prices in the U.S. rose by 0.3% in October
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 12:46 PM
The index of industrial prices excluding volatile food prices and energy prices fell in October at 0.6%. This is the most significant fall in the past three years.
Compared with the same period last year, producer prices in the U.S. fell by 1,9%. In turn, the index excluding prices for food and energy rose at annual rate of 0,7%.
Winning Solution System (WSS) V 9.3
Winning Solution 9.3 is the invergy forex from the latest version (9.2) which 9.3 have more addition ex. Fibonacci, Camarilla Equation, ElliotWave, DeMarker, GMT Setting etc. Which is this indicator can help you to Trading Forex Based On Trend before forex training and no need extra work cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita".
We made WSS Result on the bottom is the result from A-G Indicators, so WSS9.3 more reliable to analyze the trend because WSS9.3 do not use re-paint the history method so you can managed forex. We use actual trend.
SIMPLE VERSION : We use only WSS Result Indicator, so make your chart looks simple
WSS9.3 has many filter to help your decision make a SELL or BUY action. You can see the blue histograph at the bottom.
Trading Rule:
Time Frame : 30M, 1H
Always Buy on BLUE Area and Sell on RED Area
Set Take Profit +20 to +40 pips and Stop Loss -30 pips, don’t forget to use trailing stop +15 pips
Use no more than 5-10% margin
Use this strategy on pair open market. In example we use EURUSD then we can use on Europe market open or USA market open.
Look Current Price, price has been moved to Blue Area
Confirm it with Software Automatic Analyzer
Use Signal Breakout
Download this Templete : WSS 9.3
Senjata Taklukan Gajah (GBP/JPY)
Posted: 2009-10-26 00:56:45 UTC+07:00
The Indicator :
1. Simple Moving Average ( SMA 35 high) White Bold Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
2. Simple Moving Average ( SMA 35 close) Whit dot (titik), see Picture
(or up to you)
3. Simple Moving Average ( SMA 35 low ) White Bold Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
4. Linear Weighted (LWMA 2 close) Blue Bold Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
5. Linear Weighted (LWMA 3 close) Blue flim Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
6. Linear Weighted (LWMA 4 close) Blue flim Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
7. Linear Weighted (LWMA 5 close) Blue flim Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
8. Linear Weighted (LWMA 6 close) Blue flim Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
9. Linear Weighted (LWMA 7 close) Blue flim Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
10. Linear Weighted (LWMA 8 close) Blue Bold Line, see Picture
(or up to you)
11. MACD 12,26,9 as a picture
12. BBANDS~1 Indicator (attached in this templete)
For a simple herewith i attached all of the indicator and you no need extra work cause "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita".
Please Download : Senjata Taklukan Gajah (GBP/JPY)
Join The DOT
Posted: 2009-11-01 20:48:19 UTC+07:00
Please understand that this system makes money as a manual trading system just Simple and make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita" I have no wish to pay a coder to code one of my systems and then still make money from it. If that offends anyone, so be it, but at least it has been said right up front.
This originated after following the Bouncing Pip Thread, found here, and not liking the fact that ZigZag called the shots. So I reversed the logic and placed the trend determination first and only then trade the "Bouncing Pip".
I am not going to discuss the management or exit of the trades, anyone who does code will have a good idea as to what type of exit strategy suits this entry strategy once they understand it and manual coders will choose to exit based on what they see when they see it, much the same way that I do. I exit based mostly on Gut and Vision, this cannot be written into an EA but I am happy discuss options that may or may not be good idea's?
The basics are this;
H4 chart, any pair, although I mostly trade only the EUR pairs manually.
Long Trades
When Mega Trend and Trend Histo are both blue, trade any Red dot that appears as soon as the dot appears, do not wait for the end of the candle.
Short Trades[/b]
When Mega Trend and Trend Histo are both Red, trade any Blue dot that appears as soon as the dot appears, do not wait for the end of the candle.
SL is usually 21 or 34, but I vary this depending on my perception of trend strength.
Float is on the chart purely as a visual confirmation, it has a fairly decent ability to pick final Highs and Lows, which helps when I want to load a trade with a few more lots than normal.
This is the basis of the system, please don't fire questions at me about trade management and closing of trades, I do not have the answers, I close on what I see, all I can tell you is that I almost never close the entire trade, but if Trend Histo changes to Yellow, I usually close out half the position and allow the balance to trail with a fixed TS.
The value of the TS is normally anything from 34 to 144 and based purely my perception of the strength of the trend.
Please Download :Join the Dot
Fxfisher new Sensation
-
Posted: 2009-11-01 20:50:38 UTC+07:00
This system only focus on EUR/USD
Time frame 30M or 1H
Using Brain system to get true signal. Using of Indicator : adx, fibo, rsi(period14), stz pivot, Fisher SEMA, Fisher sinyal, braintrading2
Use money manajemen, and trading 5% from your account
Simple and make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita"
Please Download full Templete :Fxfisher new Sensation
Easy Forex
Posted: 2009-11-01 20:47:00 UTC+07:00
Easy Forex is planned with simple and completed with Laqueree Crossing so make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita" .Tutorial this templete :
1. Waiting dor Blue Dot for Buy and Red Dot for Sell
2. The arrow will confirmed that signal
3. Only entry position if the juice change blue
4. If i-trend crossing please entry position
5. Laqueree crossing down over line .75-->sell
6. Laqueree crossing up over line .15-->buy
Please Download this Templete :Easy Forex
Elephant Hunter Methode (EHM)
Although this indicator can easy search in google but there is no wrong to give you this free indicator. Free but strength and give more profit, cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita"
Indicator :
1. EMA 12 (Blue)
2. SMA 32 type High (Red Bold)
3. SMA 32 Type Close (Red Bold)
4. SMA 32 Type Low (Red Bold)
5. Bolinger Bands period 20, standard deviation 3 (White dot)
6. Bolinger Bands period 20, standard deviation 2 (White dot)
7. MACD standar : Fast EMA 12, Slow EMA 26 dan MACD SMA 9, apply to Close
Use this System in Time Frame 1 H (forex opportunity)
denied this forex trading if using forex robots
I attached complete with tutorial,
Please download : Elephant Hunter Methode (EHM)
SS2009_V2
Please remind for not to enter the market if the spike ss2009_b wanna change the trend.
Please download here : SS2009_V2
Cornflower
In Forex This System is no different to EHM , but only more simple and using only 6 indicator so you no need extra work, like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita".
Cornflower Methode can be used to all pairs like GBP/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY etc
The best Time frame is H1 and for intra day used in H30 with TP 20-30 pips only. See the forex theme. Also this system provide alarm and we can hear a signal or music so we can control when to open position.
Indicator :
1. EMA 8 (Yellow)
2. EMA 12 (violet)
3. EMA 24 (Blue)
4. EMA 72 (Gold)
5. MACD (12,26,9) type close
6. RSI 14, if RSI > 50 buy and if RSI <> 50
* ENTRY Buy : EMA 8 dan 12 cross up EMA 24; where EMA 8, 12 and 24 still up in EMA 72. check RSI (14) > 50
* ENTRY SELL : EMA 8 dan 12 cross down EMA 24; where EMA 8, 12 and 24 still down in EMA 72. check RSI (14) < style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">
You can Download in : Cornflower
cat
This time i will give you a simple forex indicator, Simple and make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita" just look the picture very simple. But it will give you a fantastic result, cause this indicator has a high rate of accurate. We call it "Cat FX50" you can test this indicator first in demo to get the power of this indicator.
Good in TF 1 H and best pair GBP/USD but available to any pairs.
The description and rule of this indicator is attached if you download. So what are you waiting for just download here :
Forex Profit System
Nice title "Forex Profit System" ya, but it is depend on you, how smart you using this software, after give you SS2009 V2 Indicator, now i will share you this nice software, simple and make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita" .
Basic Rules :
Please see the picture :
- Bolinger Bands stop, heiken Ashi dan SEFC084 # All of this indicators should be on the same trend direction, the probabilities to get false signal is too high if you enter the market without following basic rules.
Take Profit : 20pips dan Stop Loss : 40 pips
Just try and download here :
Forex Funnel
Forex Funnel
on the other hand has made 250 trades in the past 5 days of trading. It uses varying lot sizes, which I’ve taken into account when calculating the net pip values above. The key to this system’s success definitely seem to come from a high risk, high reward Martingale strategy.The following trades on Thursday illustrates this strategy very well:
internal indicators. The price goes up and the trade starts making a loss. Another short position of double the lot size is entered at a higher price. The principle is quite simple - if the price retraces slightly at this point, the second, larger trade makes enough profit to cover the losses of the first trade. Both positions are then closed and no losses are made. However, if the price continues to go up, another short position of double the second position’s lot size is entered, etc..
New to the Forex market?
Step 1: Understand the FOREX market.
Dive into Forex 101 for a compact overview of the basics or sit back and join us at one of our live interactive webinars.
Step 2: Prepare to trade in a live environment.
Register for one of our training courses and study at your own pace or join us at a local workshop, where our experienced instructors can teach you in a dynamic classroom setting.
Step 3: Test your skills risk free.
Catch and Release Strategy
I got this indicator while searching in google, i think this is great to be my topic here, cause this "Catch and Release Strategy indicator" very powerfull, the strategy can work in any pairs and time frame. The system uses 5 indicators which are the Stochastics (9,3,3), RSI(3), EMA (20 and 30), the GMMA Slow and the last one is the famous Heiken Ashi. All these indicators combined together can give very accurate entry signals. You do not need to place these indicators manually on your chart, Simple and make you relax cause we no need extra work, cause like people said "Kerja Keras adalah Energi kita" , you can download the template at the end of this post and apply it to your chart and you will be ready to start working with it. Though, the system will need some practice time so that you can gain better inderstanding of it. So, let us dive into this strategy.
BUY
1. The GMMA Slow lines should be well spaced and not stuck with one another. When they are stuck, it means that the market is ranging and when they are spaced, with at least 1 pip between each other, then it means that we have a trend. Since we are dealing with a trending system, it is primordial that this rule should be observed very closely. I will try to elaborate on this at the end.
2. Heiken Ashi Candle should retrace back to the Blue EMAs after a prior UP MOVE.
3. Stochastics should be below 30 and trying to go up.
4. RSI should be below 20
5. Finally, the Heiken Ashi should produce a new CLOSED white candle after the red ones. This is our entry.
Here are the 5 basic rules that can guarantee you profitable trades if you follow each and every of them without ever burning a single one. Now take a look at the screenshot below for the BUY trading examples.
As you can see above, we have 2 clear cut buy trading signal from the system. You could have taken only the first one and ride it or you can divide you lots and re-enter again on the 2nd,3rd,4th etc signals. Both of these signal has fulfilled all the 5 rules as outlined above. You can see that there could have been other signal as well, but not all the rules had been met, so we totally discard them. Success in these trades can only be achieved if these rules are observed closely. That is all regarding the Buy Trading Signal, let us move to the Sell signal now.
When to SELL
So, let us look into the Sell details. Determining whether we have a Sell signal or not is fairly easy by now since it is the exact opposite of the Buy signal. The rules are as follows and the screenshot is at the bottom with the illustration on the Sell rules as well as the Sell signals. So, the Sell rules are:
1. Moving Averages should be well spaced and not compressed together. Will talk a little more on this at the end of this post.
2. Heiken Ashi (price) should retrace back(up) to the BLUE moving averages after a prior DOWN move.
3. Stochastics should be above 70 and start to fall
4. RSI should be above 80
5. Heiken Ashi Candle should turn RED from white and CLOSE on a RED candle.
These are the Sell rules that you will need to observe in order to determine a Sell signal from this trading method. As a reminder, burning even one of these rules can render the trades into losers. Now, let us look into the screenshot below for a detailed view on the Sell signal and trade examples.
BUY
1. The GMMA Slow lines should be well spaced and not stuck with one another. When they are stuck, it means that the market is ranging and when they are spaced, with at least 1 pip between each other, then it means that we have a trend. Since we are dealing with a trending system, it is primordial that this rule should be observed very closely. I will try to elaborate on this at the end.
2. Heiken Ashi Candle should retrace back to the Blue EMAs after a prior UP MOVE.
3. Stochastics should be below 30 and trying to go up.
4. RSI should be below 20
5. Finally, the Heiken Ashi should produce a new CLOSED white candle after the red ones. This is our entry.
Here are the 5 basic rules that can guarantee you profitable trades if you follow each and every of them without ever burning a single one. Now take a look at the screenshot below for the BUY trading examples.
As you can see above, we have 2 clear cut buy trading signal from the system. You could have taken only the first one and ride it or you can divide you lots and re-enter again on the 2nd,3rd,4th etc signals. Both of these signal has fulfilled all the 5 rules as outlined above. You can see that there could have been other signal as well, but not all the rules had been met, so we totally discard them. Success in these trades can only be achieved if these rules are observed closely. That is all regarding the Buy Trading Signal, let us move to the Sell signal now.When to SELL
So, let us look into the Sell details. Determining whether we have a Sell signal or not is fairly easy by now since it is the exact opposite of the Buy signal. The rules are as follows and the screenshot is at the bottom with the illustration on the Sell rules as well as the Sell signals. So, the Sell rules are:
1. Moving Averages should be well spaced and not compressed together. Will talk a little more on this at the end of this post.
2. Heiken Ashi (price) should retrace back(up) to the BLUE moving averages after a prior DOWN move.
3. Stochastics should be above 70 and start to fall
4. RSI should be above 80
5. Heiken Ashi Candle should turn RED from white and CLOSE on a RED candle.
These are the Sell rules that you will need to observe in order to determine a Sell signal from this trading method. As a reminder, burning even one of these rules can render the trades into losers. Now, let us look into the screenshot below for a detailed view on the Sell signal and trade examples.
Balance of trade
The balance of trade (or net exports, sometimes symbolized asNX) is the difference between the monetary value of exports andimports in an economy over a certain period of time. It is the relationship between a nation's imports and exports.[1] A positive balance of trade is known as a trade surplus and consists of exporting more than is imported; a negative balance of trade is known as a trade deficit or, informally, a trade gap. The balance of trade is sometimes divided into a goods and a services balance.
Essential Elements of a Successful Trader
All the foreign exchange trading knowledge in the world is not going to help, unless you have the nerve to buy and sell currencies and put your money at risk. As with the lottery “You gotta be in it to win it”. Trust me when I say that the simple task of hitting the buy or sell key is extremely difficult to do when your own real money is put at risk.
You will feel anxiety, even fear. Here lies the moment of truth. Do you have the courage to be afraid and act anyway? When a fireman runs into a burning building I assume he is afraid but he does it anyway and achieves the desired result. Unless you can overcome or accept your fear and do it anyway, you will not be a successful trader.
However, once you learn to control your fear, it gets easier and easier and in time there is no fear. The opposite reaction can become an issue – you’re overconfident and not focused enough on the risk you're taking.
Both the inability to initiate a trade, or close a losing trade can create serious psychological issues for a trader going forward. By calling attention to these potential stumbling blocks beforehand, you can properly prepare prior to your first real trade and develop good trading habits from day one.
Start by analyzing yourself. Are you the type of person that can control their emotions and flawlessly execute trades, oftentimes under extremely stressful conditions? Are you the type of person who’s overconfident and prone to take more risk than they should? Before your first real trade you need to look inside yourself and get the answers. We can correct any deficiencies before they result in paralysis (not pulling the trigger) or a huge loss (overconfidence). A huge loss can prematurely end your trading career, or prolong your success until you can raise additional capital.
The difficulty doesn’t end with “pulling the trigger”. In fact what comes next is equally or perhaps more difficult. Once you are in the trade the next hurdle is staying in the trade. When trading foreign exchange you exit the trade as soon as possible after entry when it is not working. Most people who have been successful in non-trading ventures find this concept difficult to implement.
For example, real estate tycoons make their fortune riding out the bad times and selling during the boom periods. The problem with trying to adapt a 'hold on until it comes back' strategy in foreign exchange is that most of the time the currencies are in long-term persistent, directional trends and your equity will be wiped out before the currency comes back.
The other side of the coin is staying in a trade that is working. The most common pitfall is closing out a winning position without a valid reason. Once again, fear is the culprit. Your subconscious demons will be scaring you non-stop with questions like “what if news comes out and you wind up with a loss”. The reality is if news comes out in a currency that is going up, the news has a higher probability of being positive than negative (more on why that is so in a later article).
So your fear is just a baseless annoyance. Don’t try and fight the fear. Accept it. Have a laugh about it and then move on to the task at hand, which is determining an exit strategy based on actual price movement. As Garth says in Waynesworld “Live in the now man”. Worrying about what could be is irrational. Studying your chart and determining an objective exit point is reality based and rational.
Another common pitfall is closing a winning position because you are bored with it; its not moving. In Football, after a star running back breaks free for a 50-yard gain, he comes out of the game temporarily for a breather. When he reenters the game he is a serious threat to gain more yards – this is indisputable. So when your position takes a breather after a winning move, the next likely event is further gains – so why close it?
If you can be courageous under fire and strategically patient, foreign exchange trading may be for you. If you’re a natural gunslinger and reckless you will need to tone your act down a notch or two and we can help you make the necessary adjustments. If putting your money at risk makes you a nervous wreck its because you lack the knowledge base to be confident in your decision making.
Patience to Gain Knowledge through Study and Focus
Many new traders believe all you need to profitably trade foreign currencies are charts, technical indicators and a small bankroll. Most of them blow up (lose all their money) within a few weeks or months; some are initially successful and it takes as long as a year before they blow up. A tiny minority with good money management skills, patience, and a market niche go on to be successful traders. Armed with charts, technical indicators, and a small bankroll, the chance of succeeding is probably 500 to 1.
To increase your chances of success to near certainty requires knowledge; acquiring knowledge takes hard work, study, dedication and focus. Compile your knowledge base without taking any shortcuts, thereby assuring a solid foundation to build upon.
dollars
One of the most frustrating aspects of day trading can be that gap up or down. For one thing, much of the day's move is often spent within the gap itself, leaving little for the remainder of the day. But here is a relatively simple method for determining the day's top or bottom, based on what I call the "50% Phenomenon", which occurs very often in the intraday charts.
Calculating Profit and Loss in Foreign Currency Trading
To understand how the exchange rate can affect the value of your Forex investment, you need to learn how to read a Forex quote. Forex quotes are always expressed in pairs. In the following example, your pair of currencies are the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The Forex quote, USD/CAD = 170.50, means that one U.S. Dollar is equal to 170.50 Canadian Dollars. The currency to the left of the (USD in this example) is referred to as base currency and its value is always 1. The currency to the right of the "/" (CAD in this example) is referred to as the counter currency. In this example, one USD can buy 170.50 CAD, because it is the stronger of the two currencies. The U.S. Dollar is regarded as the central currency of the Forex market, and it is always treated as the base currency in any Forex quote where it is one of the pairs.
Let's go now to our hypothetical Forex investment to show how you can profit or come up short in Forex trading. In this example, your pair of currencies are the U.S. Dollar and the Euro. The Forex rate of EUR/USD on
One year later, the Forex rate of EUR/USD was 1.2083, which means that the value of the Euro increased in relation to the USD. If you had sold the 1,000 Euros one year later, you would have received $1,208.30, which is $122.60 more than what you had started with one year earlier.
Conversely, if the Forex rate one year later had been EUR/USD = 1.0576, the value of the Euro would have weakened in relation to the U.S. Dollar. If you had sold the 1,000 Euros at this Forex rate, you would have received $1,057.60, which is $28.10 less than what you had started out with one year earlier.
As with stocks and mutual funds, there is risk in Forex trading. The risk results from fluctuations in the currency exchange market. Investments with a low level of risk (for example, long-term government bonds) often have a low return. Investments with a higher level of risk (for example, Forex trading) can have a higher return. To achieve your short-term and long-term financial goals, you need to balance security and risk to the comfort level that works best for you.
About Author
Gregory DeVictor is a consultant and has been developing and marketing web sites since 1999. You can learn more about Forex
Online currency trading in forex
How to access the best Forex Training program
Forex Trading - should you invest?
Free Daily Forecast Forex
How to access the best Forex Training program
Forex Success - The Reason Anyone Can Get Rich in Forex!
stock exchange
A stock exchange, securities exchange or (in Europe) bourse is a corporation or mutual organization which provides "trading" facilities for stock brokers and traders, to trade stocks and other securities. Stock exchanges also provide facilities for the issue and redemption of securities as well as other financial instruments and capital events including the payment of income and dividends. The securities traded on a stock exchange include: shares issued by companies, unit trusts and other pooled investment products andbonds. To be able to trade a security on a certain stock exchange, it has to be listed there. Usually there is a central location at least for recordkeeping, but trade is less and less linked to such a physical place, as modern markets are electronic networks, which gives them advantages of speed and cost of transactions. Trade on an exchange is by members only. The initial offering of stocks and bonds to investors is by definition done in the primary market and subsequent trading is done in thesecondary market. A stock exchange is often the most important component of a stock market. Supply and demand in stock markets is driven by various factors which, as in all free markets, affect the price of stocks (see stock valuation).
Recomended to Forex Download
Professional online trading terminal for Forex, Futures and CFD markets. It is the convenient and adjustable tool of the active trader. The different functions and options of this system, allow great flexibility in trading. The MetaQuotes Language II allowing on programming your own strategy through the Expert Advisors, enables the markets to be monitored automatically so not requiring constant supervision.The standard list of technical indicators may be expanded with the opportunity to write your own indicators as you require (Custom Indicators). Real time demos are accessible through more than 35 brokerages free of charge.
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